Grid texture

Methodology Paper

Chicago Momentum Methodology

A concise framework for how Profentra computes area-level development momentum and where interpretation boundaries sit.

1) Overview

Momentum identifies where permit activity accelerates relative to recent local baseline, not where absolute volume is highest.

2) Data Sources

Primary source: Chicago Open Data Building Permits (Socrata). Records are normalized, deduplicated, and geocoded where necessary.

Open dataset

3) Momentum Formula

For each area: compare 30-day permit activity against rolling 90-day baseline, then normalize to a bounded 0–100 score with permit-mix influence.

4) Limitations

Permit velocity can lead or lag pricing and may underrepresent off-market dynamics. Use alongside local underwriting context.

5) Update Cadence

Connector ingestion and momentum snapshots update daily. Weekly digest summarizes highest-momentum areas.

6) FAQ

Does high momentum always mean buy now?

No. It is an early signal for deeper diligence, not an investment instruction.

How should I compare neighborhoods?

Use momentum score with permit mix and trend direction, then validate by submarket fundamentals.